Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.181013 0.211142 0.244184 0.283036 0.327391 0.376369 0.434465
2026-01-25 0.129509 0.169862 0.218843 0.282312 0.361973 0.458208 0.582784
2026-02-01 0.099581 0.142897 0.199681 0.278782 0.385191 0.522322 0.711165
2026-02-08 0.079510 0.123122 0.184108 0.274306 0.402708 0.577022 0.829193
2026-02-15 0.063418 0.105244 0.167238 0.263952 0.408663 0.614229 0.924521
2026-02-22 0.057086 0.100451 0.167949 0.278029 0.449633 0.702580 1.097745
2026-03-01 0.047469 0.088627 0.155914 0.270602 0.456765 0.741269 1.200815
2026-03-08 0.039367 0.077830 0.143747 0.260916 0.458493 0.770819 1.291184
2026-03-15 0.033418 0.069745 0.134819 0.255104 0.465202 0.807772 1.394877
2026-03-22 0.030009 0.065758 0.132388 0.259899 0.489635 0.874524 1.550577
2026-03-29 0.027881 0.063887 0.133463 0.270864 0.525419 0.962351 1.746782
2026-04-05 0.025359 0.060781 0.131747 0.276336 0.551686 1.035698 1.923424
2026-04-12 0.022690 0.056996 0.128350 0.278489 0.572585 1.102236 2.094953
2026-04-19 0.020149 0.053062 0.124142 0.278570 0.589618 1.163312 2.261627
2026-04-26 0.017656 0.048778 0.118579 0.275165 0.599420 1.211725 2.408681
2026-05-03 0.015431 0.044715 0.112900 0.270751 0.606592 1.255463 2.549766
2026-05-10 0.013119 0.039972 0.104992 0.260519 0.600787 1.273838 2.644360
2026-05-17 0.012616 0.039895 0.107877 0.274431 0.646307 1.394508 2.940919
2026-05-24 0.010933 0.036258 0.101736 0.267090 0.645873 1.424422 3.063803
2026-05-31 0.009363 0.032610 0.095011 0.257518 0.639522 1.441702 3.162569
2026-06-07 0.008181 0.029856 0.090146 0.251775 0.641023 1.474914 3.295004
2026-06-14 0.007582 0.028787 0.089565 0.256513 0.666770 1.560378 3.538915
2026-06-21 0.007270 0.028588 0.091323 0.267350 0.707596 1.680444 3.861277